Monday 16 March 2009

My thoughts on pre-election polling

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There have been several articles today on the possibility of a poll boost for the Government during an election campaign.

Politicalbetting.com has this and polling report has this.

As far as I can tell the data seems to suggest that Labour lose around 10 points during an election campaign. There is no boost for a governing party, just a boost for the Tories.

Check out the 2 websites mentioned for that data.

2 comments:

Oldrightie said...

Would that this becomes true. 51 plays 21 with LibDems at 23. Heaven!

CROWN said...

Could well happen.

I still see Labour splitting after the next election and the Lib Dems becoming the official opposition soon after.